IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#237
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.6	#21
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#196

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.4%	36.1%	25.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	63.5%	85.2%	58.6%
.500 or above in Conference	20.3%	29.5%	18.2%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.3%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.8%	1.4%

First Four	19.5%	18.5%	19.7%
First Round	18.3%	27.9%	16.1%
Second Round	0.5%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 18.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 1	1 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 3	10 - 8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	129	@ Washington St.	L	77-87	19%
Nov 27, 2020	74	@ St. Mary's	L	67-82	8%
Nov 28, 2020	42	@ Oklahoma St.	L	69-87	5%
Nov 30, 2020	169	@ Wyoming	L	72-79	26%
Dec 15, 2020	60	@ Auburn	L	72-89	7%
Dec 30, 2020	69	@ TCU	L	65-81	9%
Jan 02, 2021	334	@ Alcorn St.	W	84-78	69%
Jan 02, 2021	262	@ Southern	L	75-77	44%
Jan 23, 2021	338	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	76-69	73%
Jan 30, 2021	344	Alabama St.	W	84-68	91%
Feb 01, 2021	343	Alabama A&M	W	82-67	90%
Feb 20, 2021	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	79-66	86%
Feb 27, 2021	344	@ Alabama St.	W	81-71	79%
Mar 01, 2021	343	@ Alabama A&M	W	79-70	77%
Mar 04, 2021	334	Alcorn St.	W	87-75	84%
Mar 06, 2021	262	Southern	W	78-74	64%
Projected Record						8 - 8	7 - 2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.9											0.9	1st
2nd								0.1	3.0	9.4											12.5	2nd
3rd							0.1	2.4	11.2	8.4											22.1	3rd
4th						0.0	1.3	8.4	10.4	1.5											21.6	4th
5th					0.0	0.5	4.9	9.0	2.3	0.1											16.9	5th
6th				0.0	0.2	2.3	5.9	3.0	0.1												11.5	6th
7th				0.1	1.0	3.4	2.8	0.2	0.0												7.6	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	1.8	0.3														4.5	8th
9th	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.1															2.0	9th
10th		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1																0.4	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.9	8.2	15.2	23.2	27.1	20.3												Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9	4.5%	0.9		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9	20.3%		47.3%	47.3%		15.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.8	6.9	10.7
8-10	27.1%		32.4%	32.4%		15.9														0.0	0.2	0.7	7.8	18.3
7-11	23.2%		23.1%	23.1%		16.0															0.0	0.2	5.2	17.8
6-12	15.2%		17.4%	17.4%		16.0																0.0	2.6	12.5
5-13	8.2%		9.4%	9.4%		16.0																	0.8	7.4
4-14	3.9%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.2	3.7
3-15	1.6%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		27.4%	27.4%	0.0%	15.8											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.7	23.5	72.6		0.0%